Good question! I struggled with this one. I am a Butler fan and know that he is athletic with a great future ahead of him. The tipping point came with Ediger and Drylie. Ediger had wins over Leo Beck and Drylie last year and Drylie had 30 wins with quality matches. Both were solid 215 guys. Butler competed at 189. He absolutely had a great state tournament losing a close one to Chaparro and beating Carpenter and Blazevic. The letdown in my mind occurred at Regionals when Welsh pinned him pretty easy. Having said that, I know that Nathan put summer work in and I expect him to excel this year. It's mostly the 26 pound jump in weight.