Do not under estimate Maize and ol' Oeaser grasshopper.
They were 3rd last year and are always in the top 8. They did graduate 4 qualifiers but still return a lot of points and always have the potential to score points from "non qualifiers" or quality freshman.
Plus, they are likely to have 3 finalists and perhaps even more.
I predict they will be no less than top 5.