Originally posted by jmadden:
I think Aquinas enrollemt will continue to drop. Recall St. James opened last year with freshmen only. Since both are catholic schools, I would anticipate Aquinas will show a drop in enrollment for each of the next three years until St. James has all four classes.
I am not sure that this effect is going to be that significant. I believe the immediate effect would have been greater if the new Johnson County Catholic school had been built further east between Metcalf and Mission Road. I definitely do not see the potential drop being great enough to take Aquinas out of 5A. It might just be enough to keep them out of 6A. Last year when the new classifications came out Aquinas was at 981 which I believe was not that far off the enrollment it was at the previous year. The lowest enrollment 6A school last fall was Blue Valley at 1,000 and the lowest 5A was at 522. Aquinas' enrollment would have to severely drop to go to 4A. I think that type of drop is highly unlikely at Aquinas for several years, unless a new Catholic high school is built in Johnson County out South in that area between Metcalf and Mission Road.
Last year's classifications and enrollments:
http://www.kshsaa.org/Classifications.pdf
